2014年05月12日

スポーツテクニカルズ 0512

宣言した、予想の無料公開21日目です。トータル収支が+220 unitを超すまで無料公開を続けます。ここまでデイリーレポートのほぼ全てを投稿出来ています。

惨敗した先週Week207 収支報告(下の記事)で宣言したように、トータル収支 +220 unitを超すまで無料公開続けます。

必ずどこかで超えて行きますので、投資しない方も是非注目してみてください。


昨日は錦織は途中棄権だったのでベットは両方無効になりましたが。第一セットは正直予想外でした。錦織をまだ過小評価していたかもしれません。ナダルを上回っていました。ナダルのミスも錦織のプレッシャーあったからこそ。錦織の故障が悪化し、プレーレベルが落ちるにしたがってナダルも本来のプレーを出してきました。ずばり錦織次第の試合で、コンディションよければ普通に勝てたような印象でした。強い。とにかくコンディション整えての全仏に期待します。

随時更新していきますのでチェックしてください。

レポート投稿とのタイムラグがありますので、オッズが変動していることがありますがご了承ください。

Washington Nationals (J.Zimmermann)V.S.Arizona Diamondbacks (J.Collmenter)

Nationals 1.83@PINNACLE 05.11.1530

Detroit Tigers (R.Porcello)V.S. Baltimore Orioles (B.Norris)

Tigers 1.96@PINNACLE 05.11.1537

Chicago White Sox (J.Danks)V.S.Oakland Athletics (J.Chavez)

Athletics -1 1.77@PINNACLE 05.11.2316

New York Mets (B.Colon)V.S.New York Yankees (H.Kuroda)

Yankees -1 1.90@PINNACLE 05.11.2346

I know Colon is a better pitcher than his ERA 5.36 suggests. I have to admit he has been a little unlucky on a couple of aspects with his LOB low and his HR/FB higher than his career's. His good K/BB makes his xfip 3.71. But I still don't think he is so good. Speaking of his unluckiness, I cannot say his high BABIP is just unlucky because of his high LD rate. And Lots of pitchers that had been in the American league tend to enjoy a good time in the 1st year after he moves to the National League, because lots of batters in the National League doesn't know him so well and the league doesn't have DH. This is the case with Colon. So it's a different matter for him to face the Yankees, who know Colon very well and are good at hitting colon. Jeter, Teixeira, Beltran, and Ellsbury had had lots of at-bats against Colon throughout their careers and each has a very good record against him. (Believe me. Jeter and Beltran's career OPS against Colon is over 1.000 !!!) Even Ichiro had a decent stats against Colon. They know everything about Colon. Do you know Colon has pitched once this season against the American League team? He started against Angels, who also know him very well, on 4/13. It was his worst performance this season. He allowed 11 hits and 4 HRs just in 5 innings. I think Yankees lineup will find the way to score against Colon tonight. He might be easier opponents for them tonight than used to be because of a drop in his velocity. One more concern about Colons is his allowing more fly balls than usual and his high HR/FB rate eventhough he has started almost all games except Coors fields at low-HR factor parks this season. So I think it will be a tough job for him to dominate the Yankees lineup at Yankee Stadium, which still is one of the most HR-friendly park this season. Wind will blow to outfield and it'll be a relatively warm tonight. On the other hand Hiroki Kuroda is solid as usual. He has had some tough days against strong lineups like Angles, Rays, and Boston, which are all good teams against righties. But Mets is one of the worst batting team against righties this season and their lineup's career records against Kuroda is very bad. Mets' bullpen has had a very heavy workload in the past 3 days and I don't believe Terry Collins will tax them tonight because they will have the most winnable game in this series tomorrow against Vidal Nuno. So their bullpen cannot give Colon much help. I think the Yankees, which is motivated to stop 2 game losing streak, will get a comfortable win tonight.

Ernests Gulbis V.S. Kei Nishikori, R1, Rome

Gulbis 1.80@PINNACLE 05.11.1102

This bet will be VOID because of Kei's withdrawal.

Alexandr Dolgopolov V.S. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, R1, Rome

Dolgopolov 2.25@PINNACLE 05.12.0111

Detroit Tigers (R.Porcello)V.S. Baltimore Orioles (B.Norris)

5 innings Tigers 1.94@PINNACLE 05.12.1434

Washington Nationals (J.Zimmermann)V.S.Arizona Diamondbacks (J.Collmenter)

5 innings Nationals 1.84@PINNACLE 05.12.1346

Los Angeles Angels (C.Wilson)V.S.Toronto Blue Jays (M.Buehrle)

5 innings Angels 2.01@PINNACLE 05.12.1357


Texas Rangers (C.Lewis)V.S.Houston Astros(B.Peacock)

5 innings OVER 4.5 1.78@PINNACLE 05.12.1551

Miami Heat V.S. Brooklyn Nets

UNDER 187 1.88@PINNACLE 05.12.1836

Heat -1.5 1.92@PINNACLE 05.12.1837

San Antonio Spurs V.S. Portland Trailblazers

Spurs -4.5 1.92@PINNACLE 05.12.1837

Miami Marlins (T. Koehler)V.S.Los Angeles Dodgers (D.Haren)

5 innings Dodgers 1.67@PINNACLE 05.12.1843

5 innings OVER 3.5 1.82@PINNACLE 05.12.1844
posted by OT at 12:21 | 各種予想投稿 | このブログの読者になる | 更新情報をチェックする